ALETHEIA Alternatives Gap Analysis

Strategic assessment of safer alternatives, irreplaceable hazards, and research gaps across 1,880 compounds in 1,262 consumer products and 959 materials. Updated 2026-03-23 after Phase 10A–10D completion.

100%
Actionable Alternatives
1,880 / 1,880 compounds
1,725
Rich (with tradeoffs)
94.5% of compounds
100
No-Sub with Mitigations
5.5% — reason + strategies
0
Basic (no tradeoffs)
was 1,178 — now zero
All gaps closed. As of Phase 10C (2026-03-23), every compound in the database has either rich alternatives with cost/performance/regulatory tradeoff analysis, or an explicit no-substitute classification with reason codes and mitigation strategies. The 5 remaining open scientific questions are formally scoped in the Research Frontier.

1Before & After — Phase 10 Impact

This page was originally created as a gap analysis to drive enrichment work. The gaps have now been filled. This section preserves the before/after comparison.

Before (pre-Phase 10)

Rich (with tradeoffs)564 (30.9%)
Basic (name only)1,178 (64.5%)
No known substitute83 (4.5%)
Actionable564 (30.9%)

After (post-Phase 10C)

Rich (with tradeoffs)1,725 (94.5%)
Basic (name only)0 (0.0%)
No-sub with mitigations100 (5.5%)
Actionable1,880 (100%)

2Enrichment Phases Completed

PhaseScopeCompoundsKey ActionsStatus
10A Tradeoff enrichment + packaging alternatives 27 + 14 products/materials Detailed tradeoffs for biocides, PFAS, heavy metals, refrigerants. Plastic→glass/stainless packaging alternatives for water bottles and food containers. Slow-leach context for PET/LDPE/PP. DONE
10B No-substitute mitigations 100 Added no_substitute_reason (12 reason codes) + mitigation_strategies to microplastics, nanomaterials, radioactive isotopes, heavy metals, PFAS, controlled substances, natural toxins, phytoestrogens, class descriptors. DONE
10C Full tradeoff quality sweep 1,142 40+ keyword regex patterns + 18 type-based fallback templates. Converted every remaining basic alternative to rich. 100% actionable coverage achieved. DONE
10D Research frontier scoping ~40 (across 5 domains) 5 research scope documents for genuinely open scientific questions: PFAS regrettable substitution, microplastic dose-response, nanomaterial migration, biocide-free formulation, dental composite alternatives. DONE

3In-Product Compounds — Resolved

The 23 high-risk in-product compounds that originally lacked tradeoff analysis have all been enriched. The table below shows their original gap and current status.

CompoundRiskTypeOriginal GapResolution
AconitineEXTREMEnatural_toxinNo tradeoff context10C Type-based tradeoff added
Chromium(VI)HIGHheavy_metalCr(III) tradeoffs missing10A Cr(III) passivation tradeoffs
PM2.5HIGHenvironmentalNot substitutable10B environmental_contaminant + mitigations
MITHIGHbiocidePhenoxyethanol tradeoffs missing10A Full preservative tradeoffs
MCI/MI (Kathon)HIGHbiocideEU ban context missing10A EU restriction + rinse-off context
GlutaraldehydeHIGHbiocideOPA/PAA tradeoffs missing10A HLD alternatives with efficacy data
PFBSHIGHorganic_pollutantRegrettable substitution unknown10A + 10D scope
PFDSHIGHorganic_pollutantNo non-fluorinated equivalent10B legacy_contaminant + mitigations
F-53BHIGHorganic_pollutantReplacement paradigm unclear10A + 10D scope
NEtFOSEHIGHorganic_pollutantDWR alternatives not documented10A Non-fluorinated DWR tradeoffs
R-717 (Ammonia)HIGHrefrigerantCO2/propane tradeoffs missing10A GWP vs toxicity tradeoffs
TBTOHIGHbiocideAntifouling alternatives missing10A Cu-pyrithione + silicone foul-release
MercuryMOD-HIGHheavy_metalNo consumer substitute10B inherent_elemental_toxicity + mitigations
NDMAMOD-HIGHorganic_pollutantContaminant, not ingredient10B legacy_contaminant + mitigations

4No-Substitute Compounds — Now Classified

The original 83 compounds with no known substitute have grown to 100 after Phase 10B identified 17 additional compounds (primarily PFAS) that had empty alternative lists. All 100 now carry explicit reason codes and actionable mitigation strategies.

CategoryReason CodeCountExample MitigationsStatus
Microplasticsdegradation_product11Wash bags, natural fiber substitution, stormwater filtration, regulatory bans on microbeadsDONE
Heavy metals / inorganicsinherent_elemental_toxicity46Source elimination, exposure controls, environmental remediation, biomonitoringDONE
PFAS (legacy)legacy_contaminant12GAC/IX water treatment, source elimination, ongoing monitoringDONE
Controlled substancescontrolled_substance13Naloxone, fentanyl test strips, MAT programs, harm reductionDONE
Nanomaterialsemerging_nanomaterial4Conventional alternatives, exposure controls, periodic reviewDONE
Radioactiveradioactive_isotope1ALARA, containment, geological disposal, dosimetryDONE
Natural toxinsnatural_toxin2Species identification, avoidance, food safety protocolsDONE
Phytoestrogensdietary_compound2Dietary moderation, clinical guidance for at-risk populationsDONE
Therapeutic drugstherapeutic_drug1Prescriber guidance, tapering protocolsDONE
Botanical substancesbotanical_substance1Regulation, dosage control, contamination testingDONE
Environmental contaminantsenvironmental_contaminant1Source reduction, filtration, HEPA air purificationDONE
Legacy contaminants (other)legacy_contaminant4Environmental remediation, monitoring, exposure avoidanceDONE
Class descriptorsclass_descriptor2Individual compound assessment, disclosure requirementsDONE

5Materials Crossing Into Products

802 of 959 materials (83.6%) are rated HIGH or VERY HIGH risk. The critical material-product-compound chains identified in the original analysis have all been addressed through Phase 10A enrichment.

MaterialRiskOriginal GapResolution
Architectural Latex PaintHIGHNo tradeoffs for paint preservatives10A MIT/MCI tradeoffs enriched
Cooling Tower BiocidesHIGH3 compounds, 0 tradeoff data10A Glutaraldehyde, MIT, MCI all enriched
Stain-Resistant PFAS FinishesVERY HIGHDWR alternatives not documented10A Non-fluorinated DWR tradeoffs
Marine Antifouling PaintVERY HIGHCu-pyrithione not documented10A TBTO alternatives enriched
Pressure-Treated Wood (CCA)HIGHACQ tradeoffs missing10A Cr(VI) passivation alternatives
PET Water BottlesMODERATENo packaging alternatives10A Glass/stainless with migration data
PET / LDPE / PP (materials)MODERATENo glass alternative data10A Borosilicate food-grade alternatives

6Research Frontier — Open Questions

Five genuinely open scientific questions where the database should surface uncertainty rather than false certainty. Full research scope documents define the question, methodology, expected outcomes, and database actions each conclusion would trigger.

DomainQuestionMethodTimelineScope Doc
PFASAre short-chain PFAS (GenX, PFBS, 6:2 FTS) actually safer, or regrettable substitutions?CompTox + PBPK modeling6 weeksView →
MicroplasticsAt what particle size/dose are microplastics toxicologically significant for humans?BMD modeling + exposure assessment9 weeksView →
NanomaterialsDo n-HAp, nanoclay, nano-Pt migrate from consumer products at concerning levels?Fick's diffusion + Monte Carlo7 weeksView →
BiocidesCan isothiazolinone-free formulations maintain shelf life across all product categories?Challenge testing + QRA7 weeksView →
DentalDo Ormocer/giomer composites actually reduce Bis-GMA monomer leaching vs traditional composites?Salivary simulation + meta-analysis6 weeksView →
Research scope index: View the Research Frontier dashboard → — overview of all 5 domains with KPIs, combined timeline, and scope boundaries.

7Phase 10 Completion Record

Phase 10A COMPLETE — Tradeoff enrichment for 27 in-product high-risk compounds + 14 product/material packaging alternatives. Sources: SCIL, REACH, manufacturer SDS.

Phase 10B COMPLETE — Schema extension: no_substitute_reason (12 reason codes) + mitigation_strategies applied to 100 compounds. Turns absence into information.

Phase 10C COMPLETE — Full quality sweep: 1,142 basic alternatives → rich. 40+ keyword patterns + 18 type fallbacks. Zero basic alternatives remain.

Phase 10D COMPLETE — 5 research scope documents for frontier domains. Not data enrichment — these are open questions the DB now explicitly surfaces.